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Is the $ 100 laptop no more than a really expensive light-bulb?
 

By Gavin Chait, on 03 January 2007

The Freeplay windup radio and light
The Freeplay windup radio and light
Back in 1997, as a young engineering student, I conducted a cost-benefit analysis on the Freeplay Wind-up Radio, then in early release.  It was being pitched as a low-cost way to bring the wonders of telecommunications and information to the poor masses of the developing world;  after all, it didn’t need batteries to run and that must make it significantly cheaper.  

Clearly, the thinking went, it is this lack of cheap information which is holding up development.

A wind-up radio retails for $ 90.  You can get a cheap Chinese radio and PM 9 battery (which will last about six months) for about $ 8.  In other words, you’d need to use that wind-up radio for ten years before it starts paying for itself ... and I’m not sure they last that long.  Freeplay has subsequently marketed the radio as a novelty gift item and emergency radio in case of power failures … in rich countries.

Negroponte and the $ 100 laptop
Negroponte and the $ 100 laptop
Now we have the $ 100 laptop from Nicholas Negroponte and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT).  I admire and applaud the work that has gone in to producing a useable and versatile machine that can be produced for such a low price.  As an engineering exercise it is awesome.

As a development exercise the whole project is on much shakier ground.  The first point to consider is that there are already computers available in developing countries that cost significantly less than $ 100.  Bridgeport Technical Services, based in Cape Town, has a PII entry-level desktop on offer for $ 45.  Sure, not a brilliant computer if you’re used to the latest and greatest, but certainly very affordable and much better than the Intel 286 which was my first PC in 1991.  And I managed to get a science degree using that one.

The computers are hand-me-downs but, if charities can distribute second-hand clothes to developing countries, I can’t imagine that anyone would turn up their nose at a used pc.  We have bought several for the office and are extremely happy with them.

Negroponte claims:   “Desktops are cheaper, but mobility is important, especially with regard to taking the computer home at night. Kids in the developing world need the newest technology, especially really rugged hardware and innovative software.”

He doesn’t explain why this is so other than to add the following:  “In one Cambodian village where we have been working, there is no electricity, thus the laptop is, among other things, the brightest light source in the home.”

That has to count as probably the silliest reason in the world to waste all this time and effort producing a $ 100 laptop.  There are many technological breakthroughs in the $ 100 laptop that I hope will be introduced into commercial mainstream notebooks – using them as a light-bulb isn’t high on my list.

There is also the question of moral hazard, that niggling thing that economists worry about.  If you give your child a mobile-phone and they know you’ll simply replace it without comment if it disappears I can guarantee that they’ll lose it pretty quickly (especially if they see an upgrade they prefer).  Negroponte says of his freely distributed laptop:  “There are many reasons it is important for a child to own something - like a football, doll, or book - not the least of which being that these belongings will be well-maintained through love and care.”

Negroponte’s naïve faith in humanity extends to the governments he expects will distribute these computers “like textbooks”.  These are the same governments who fail to distribute textbooks as well.

It has been remarked in previous posts that education is of critical importance to development but it can, and does, take place effectively without technology.  As Hernando de Soto expressed in the seminal “The Mystery of Capital”, plenty of countries got rich without the benefit of any technology at all.

The $ 100 laptop sounds like a bright engineering idea in search of a reason to exist.
 

   
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Keywords : radio, $ 100 laptop, technology, development, engineering, negroponte, cheap computers, information, freeplay


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By: John Redmond on 03 January 2007

I agree with your analysis. Laptops are wrong for most people (rich or poor), and yet people keep getting them. See http:// keystoneisit.blogspot.com/ 2006/11/case-for-notebook- computers.html for my take on this.

 

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By: hash on 03 January 2007

Gavin, as someone who has been following the development of the $100 laptop for a while, I found this post very intriguing.  
 
So, the following quote I find to be the most compelling argument for possible failure: 
Negroponte’s naïve faith in humanity extends to the governments he expects will distribute these computers “like textbooks”. These are the same governments who fail to distribute textbooks as well. 
 
Having the success of the enterprise revolve around the often corrupt and failed governments is a real Achilles heal.  
 
However, I do believe that the usage of the device, in the hands of young or old, can have a significant impact. Granted, that assumes that the device gets to the people... 
 
Thanks for the compelling argument and the sources. I've just read the Amazon review of "The Mystery of Capital" book and am about to purchase it.

 

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By: Gavin Chait on 04 January 2007

In 1978 in the Australian outback - long before the advent of cheap computing - the School of the Air was launched. Teachers communicated with their students over ham-radio and thousands of kids got a first-class education remotely. 
 
If something similar were set up to allow distributed education online then the $ 100 laptop may have some utility. Whether this type of thing would be allowed in countries with dictatorial governments is another question. 
 
But, without having some form of linked and assisted education program, the $ 100 laptop will have little use. The $ 20 3G cellphone, on the other hand ...

 

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By: Dave on 04 January 2007

A wind-up lightbulb is a actually great idea!

 

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By: Wayan - OLPC News on 23 January 2007

If you think Negroponte's light bulb comment is flippant, you should check out his other OLPC speeches on http://www.olpctalks.com 
 
My favorite is his comment that schools need "magic" and pilot projects are ridiculous 
http://www.olpcnews.com/ implementation/plan/ implementation_miracle.html

 

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