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Analysis

Are markets incompatible with democracy?

Written by Gavin Chait
03
Jun
2010

Make jobs not slogans!Protesters in Greece carry banners reading "IMF and EU are stealing a century of social progress" and "Take the money thieves and not the workers".  Greeks are not alone in feeling that markets wag the democratic dog. 

Read more: Are markets incompatible with democracy?
 

Feeding the hungry with freely transferrable bank accounts

Written by Gavin Chait
27
May
2010

Starving the weak"We used aid money to buy arms," says Aregawi Berhe, a former Ethiopian militant when speaking to the BBC recently.  As much as $95 million of the $300 million raised for the victims of the 1984 to 1985 Ethiopian famine is alleged to have been spent on funding conflict.

A CIA report in 1985 concluded that, "Some funds that insurgent organisations are raising for relief operations, as a result of increased world publicity, are almost certainly being diverted for military purposes."

Read more: Feeding the hungry with freely transferrable bank accounts
   

Cash and Ash Crisis demonstrate global interdependency

Written by Gavin Chait
20
May
2010

From Iceland with AshThe unpronounceable Eyjafjallajoekull volcano in Iceland has caused incalculable economic damage, but this is a blog on analysis so an attempt must be made.

6.8 million passengers were stranded and airlines – the immediate victims of the ash crisis – lost some $1.7 billion.  This is on top of the $9.4 billion they already lost last year, so airlines are begging for tax bailouts.  Shops at closed airports aren’t doing too well either.

Read more: Cash and Ash Crisis demonstrate global interdependency
   

Tackling the next banking crisis today

Written by Gavin Chait
13
May
2010

Making a depositThe global financial crisis has not changed the nature of economic transactions.  What it has shown is the shortcomings in risk assessment and quantification as well as the difficulties of legislating and regulating that risk.

The three main challenges faced by regulators, politicians and the institutions themselves are as follows: restoring consumer trust both in banks and service providers, as well as those who would regulate and guarantee trust in these institutions;  reducing financiers’ perceived lending risk to restore the availability of liquidity to businesses and entrepreneurs in order to encourage job creation and market growth; and, stimulating innovation and competition in financial services to consumers  to reduce market concentration by a few large banks.

Read more: Tackling the next banking crisis today
   

Paying for Climate Change with a Carbon VAT

Written by Gavin Chait
06
May
2010

Peril on the beachesTaxation is a form of insurance where the benefits are inverted.  The intention is that these transfers be investments allowing the poor to improve their prospects and, eventually, become tax-payers.  The reality is that, in most countries, the poor are not so mobile and cash transfers are not so much investments as entitlements.

As politicians incrementally shift the tax burden up the income brackets they include more people as net beneficiaries and fewer people as net payers.  The credit crisis hurt governments so badly because, not only were banks destabilised, but their employees are the high-net-worth individuals who form the bulk of the tax-base.  As banks crashed so did tax receipts.

Read more: Paying for Climate Change with a Carbon VAT
   

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