Which market offers a safe investment...

innovation in business and market risk analysis

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What we do

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Whythawk specialises in business and market risk analysis. We design systems to measure the interactions of the players in any economic system, and the potential future impact of those interactions.  We then guide clients in aligning the implementation of their strategy with their objectives.

Comparisons are essential for Strategy and Risk Management

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Whythawk believes in an unbiased approach to data analysis.  Our unique ratings methodology – the Bue System – is designed to allow rapid, consistent and objective comparisons of large and complex data sets against a chosen benchmark.

Forecasting is the basis for Investment and Planning

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Whythawk believes in an unbiased approach to data forecasting.  Our unique methodology – the Adi System – is designed to allow rapid, consistent and objective forecasting of both qualitative and quantitative data as well as direct scenario-planning and “what-if” analysis.

Consulting is the partnership of Information and Ideas

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Whythawk believes in an unbiased approach to consulting.  Our analytical systems for comparison and forecasting allow us to analyse the efficiency of our client’s strategy implementation. We then guide clients in aligning their systems with their original objectives.

Visual Data Comparison

The Whythawk Bue Risk Analysis System

  • allows rapid, visual comparisons and shows emerging trends;
  • saves time in complex data analysis;
  • expandable and adjustable for individual needs.

DownloadDownload a sample program here

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AIDS and the cost of doing nothing

A report released today by the HSRC gives an unequivocal cost to South Africa of their government’s ambivalent approach to dealing with HIV / AIDS.

The incidence rate of infection is given at 1.4% of the population per year.  For the latest figures available, 2005, that equates to 571 000 new infections added to the current total of those already living with the virus.  34% of infections occur in the productive 15 – 24 year age group.

‘These findings suggest that the current prevention campaigns do not have the desired impact, particularly among young women’, concluded Professor Thomas Rehle, Director in the Social Aspects of HIV/AIDS and Health research programme at the Human Sciences Research Council (HSRC).

So, not only is the government doing little to pay attention to the problem, but the money spent on large-scale education programs is also achieving little by way of awareness and responsibility.

South Africa launched a five-year HIV/AIDS strategy in late 2006, vowing to cut new infections and deliver treatment and support to at least 80 percent of millions of its people infected with HIV by 2011.

Nomonde Xundu, the health ministry's chief director for HIV/AIDS, said the plan set an ambitious target of enrolling one million South Africans on anti-retroviral (ARV) drugs by 2011 - up from about 200 000 now.

"We originally discussed a target of about 650 000 people on ARVs by 2011, but then people said perhaps we should push that a little further, to about a million or so," she said.

The cost of the plan is estimated at $ 3.3 billion.  Yet it will still fall terribly short of the overall need. 

An estimated 5 million South Africans are HIV positive.

 

The Internet, Sockpuppets, and the Broken Tail

Why is the Internet like Zimbabwe ... a country where 12 million people survive in a turbulent, informal market, dominated by wealthy dictators, with 11 million percent inflation, and no rule of law?

Because the Internet is just as perversely unequal and unstable; with 1 billion people online, spending per capita is only 33 cents per day and the top 100 businesses accrue more than half of that; reputations to mitigate trade risk are earned in walled-gardens, like Amazon or eBay, and much activity is designed to game the system in order to earn a reputation above and beyond a person’s worth.

DownloadDownload the introductory report here.