Which market offers a safe investment...

innovation in business and market risk analysis

  • 0
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
prev
next

What we do

News image

Whythawk specialises in business and market risk analysis. We design systems to measure the interactions of the players in any economic system, and the potential future impact of those interactions.  We then guide clients in aligning the implementation of their strategy with their objectives.

Comparisons are essential for Strategy and Risk Management

News image

Whythawk believes in an unbiased approach to data analysis.  Our unique ratings methodology – the Bue System – is designed to allow rapid, consistent and objective comparisons of large and complex data sets against a chosen benchmark.

Forecasting is the basis for Investment and Planning

News image

Whythawk believes in an unbiased approach to data forecasting.  Our unique methodology – the Adi System – is designed to allow rapid, consistent and objective forecasting of both qualitative and quantitative data as well as direct scenario-planning and “what-if” analysis.

Consulting is the partnership of Information and Ideas

News image

Whythawk believes in an unbiased approach to consulting.  Our analytical systems for comparison and forecasting allow us to analyse the efficiency of our client’s strategy implementation. We then guide clients in aligning their systems with their original objectives.

Visual Data Comparison

The Whythawk Bue Risk Analysis System

  • allows rapid, visual comparisons and shows emerging trends;
  • saves time in complex data analysis;
  • expandable and adjustable for individual needs.

DownloadDownload a sample program here

http://www.whythawk.com/images/stories/general_strike.jpg

Unions, the leverage of the highly skilled, and the future of work

Workers of the past, unite!
The labour union movement is more than 100 years old.  At its outset it sought to improve the lot of employees relative to the rights automatically accorded to the owners of businesses.

The power of the unions coincided with a period of rapid industrial transition.  Workers were required to have a certain degree of skill.  As machines became more complex to use, and more dangerous for the unskilled, it was harder for business owners simply to fire their staff.  Self organisation gave employees an equal say in the business.

Over the last 50 years the structure and organisation of businesses has changed.  Companies are now widely owned and answerable to shareholders and various independent control bodies, in addition to their staff.  The increasing complexity of products, distribution and marketing has also resulted in a wider distribution of labour.  Unions now represent “blue collar” workers, while managers and owners are lumped together as “white collar” workers.  Yet even that is an over-simplification.

Pure manufacturing is no longer the core part of a large company; their brand is.  The management of that brand, the creation of innovative new products and managing their distribution and uptake into markets is the subject of daily operations.  This is sophisticated work and the level of skill in the average office has risen rapidly.  Multiple degrees and MBAs are ever more common.  The actual manufacturing of the product is now akin to the type of manual labour seen on a large farm in the 18th century.

Unions used to represent virtually everyone at a company who wasn’t a shareholder.  Now they represent an ever-shrinking component of the business supply chain; and that, the least skilled.  It is not that Unions have deliberately chosen the least skilled members, but it is that the mindset inherent in Unions has not changed since they were first started.  They have always represented people who – as they see it – do the actual work of manufacturing the product.  Even 50 years ago that person was someone on a factory floor.  

Nowadays a shoe-designer may not get anywhere near a shoe.  They work in an office on a team with people who discuss fashion trends around the world, fabric designers and marketing teams who discuss everything about the way in which the product will be seen.  Then they go back to a computer and design the product in tandem with others using sophisticated algorithmic software.  None of these people is unionised.  Most of them will be on short-term contracts working on this project to get the product to market.  The purchasing department who are responsible for getting the product made will be considering bids from factories around the world who wish to produce the item for them.  A company manufacturing millions of shoes may not have that many direct employees.

In other words, Unions are representing people further and further away from the design process and, therefore, with less and less power over the brand they work for.  If an entire factory hates the conditions of their work and decides to go on strike then that factory will suffer.  A well-organised company simply moves the manufacturing order to another factory as quickly as it takes to send the design specifications by email.

The rise of just-in-time manufacturing means that companies have set up infrastructure to ensure that, if there is a problem, then they can still get the work done somewhere else with only a limited impact on their timelines.

The result, though, is that the nature of power in the workplace is changing.  Unskilled workers may be able to shut down a plant – but all they achieve is destroying their own jobs.  

Talent has always been critical to businesses.  Talent used to be essential on the factory and so, when Unions represented that talent, they had power.  Now talent is footloose and selling itself to the highest bidder.  Companies use farms of coders to do the slogging of getting basic algorithms to work around the overall design created for them by a highly talented programmer working for them only on that project.  In all patterns of work talented people are unrepresented and, frequently, not gaining as much as they should from their gifts and hard work.

The future of talent and work is already starting to take shape.  Social networking software is gradually coalescing around specific interests.  Soon talented professionals will start comparing notes about how they are treated, what payment standards should be.

And, next time, when a company tries to play one talented youngster off against another, they’ll be talking to each other and will negotiate from strength.

Pity the Unions, they represent only the past.
 

Amazon Kindle and the future of publishing

Amazon.com never invented digital books, but neither did Apple invent digital music players. Steve Jobs, Apple’s CEO, tapped into a massive demand for a simple and legal means of finding and listening to digital music.  That it also came in a beautifully designed package has propelled the iPod to one of the world’s most sought-after fashion accessories.

Amazon’s approach to digital books learns from Apple but will evolve in a different and more game-changing way.

DownloadDownload the introductory report here.